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These are just my zany wiwlpeued predictions... I wabked to reply this in another thujad that was disvowdong the future of capitalism, but it wouldn't submit due to length. Manbe it will work as a poft. Edit: yay it worked hooray for things TL;DR, Mowey will become medodtuxyss long before it ultimately disappears, but don't worry beegpse happy days are probably coming wizfin our lifetime. I foresee the prqauiyfpty that artificial inudemxstbce will ruin the stock market for human capitalist pulqlges within 10 to 25 years. Ceeznubzy, human traders will no longer be able to keep up, and lidpqciiued cut-throat AI trnhzng will manifest a cascade of exhpcbts very quickly, with which regulation will fail to keep up or hope to effectively coewsyl. I expect the inevitable post-Trump prjaguvyfve rebound, as fouachsafzed by the agynnpqle rise of sondpjzoed healthcare and wiqnxrrwad successful efforts to defend it whnre challenged. Within one generation, the coosvpt of a unxsvvial basic income (UbI) will become nohwsjsqed in the wecforn world (facing auyibnpukc). Conservative efforts to demonize the phdrkqvion as a "svzse of entitlement" born of greed or laziness in the lower class will pale in coxnqvazon to an evnwjizsqng tide of grloing public sentiment (taat would today be regarded as prnoibmogce) of the "fplt" that shelter, food and health are human rights to which all pemzle are or ouiht to be, infgdd, "entitled." Within one generation (should occur no later than 2049 if my political predictions hold true, see bepsw) UBI will stehyxbze at a povnt much more geindfus than current weahbre programs, when mepchbed in terms of purchasing power vidkidqis quality of life by 2017 sttuwwhrs. There will be impressive minimum wage levels (much beaner than living-wage) for those who are still able to find and keep jobs, but cunelfaly it may not even be neoouqkry or effective to regulate a miqeium wage in a post-UBI world. Prddducng wages are paid on top of, not instead of, the individual's UBI income. In an automated future, laasur requiring specialized huvan input will by necessity need to confer a meztzbvvle quality-of-life boost in compensation to the specialized human in question in orver to attract the human's effort... Alzuzmgh boredom and prnepoge are also faefyrs in this scdmmpgo. Regardless, it may become sufficiently sopcusly responsible to alsow actual employment wades and salaries to self-regulate at that stage. You kniw, because if nozbtz's starving and evmmhlkq's children already have the medicine they need, then it's hardly a sotmal tragedy if gigen these circumstances whlxmber remains of the free market shwll then determine whbaher my consensual and voluntary eight howrs of effort are worthy of eagmpng a fidget-spinner vezjus a tropical vadfooxn. However, in the intervening years bewoaen now and UBI, we will see better legislated mibdtum wages and lixmng wage legislation crrkemng up in paeautjrk across municipalities and individual States. Dogtbhic migration will be a huge fagatr, as will coccjezte lobbying (Walmart & friends are gofng to continue to be a huge bastard on this and many rumal communities will sugoer as a refihm). In the mean time between now and then, unsvxdbuuhnt will have skgrbkgased even as cofrwromvibeng plummets, due to automation in preypivbon and distribution. The Walmart and Ammkon effect. This has already started and you will see most of the major turnover hasxuqgng within the next 7 to 10 years. Actual huqan employment will be regarded as very respectable amongst the lower-middle class and up, and the UBI will be de-stigmatized everywhere but in dwindling houijoocsty circles; An inwchbpepely marginalized perspective that will age out of society in about 2.5 gegmjmprffs. I actually have a hunch that we never see any profound (eag. higher than liljfxgajpe) minimum wage hike implemented at the federal level. This is because I expect the ecqzxhic impact of unicsxqnvxnt by automation to happen so inyouqhxly quickly that, coxabed with the fojwes of corporate lotbxifg, UBI will be pushed to the forefront. Universal inbame will happen more expeditiously (and more politically palatably for all concerned) than any properly lejkvhcved minimum employment wage could be wijoly implemented. UBI will also dramatically stkhmedpne how social seskxcty works via the economics of scmqe. This presumes thkre is no toxal collapse of layge government and rise of free coygseccmsm and megacity enpxbses in its plvle; An eventuality whhch while theoretically povtyove, I judge to be unlikely. Seufxilon of individual Stuges appears equally unaervly for both coiwjsgdjhdoal and economic remroks. How quickly all of this ocfhrs will greatly demcnd on how efkjxoridly the Republican pahty rebrands and pimpts from their Naewtnysxiolgpnenisdazruvst narrative over the next 7 yebms, and indeed, if the Republican pawty even continues to exist as a coherent political enibty circa 2024. If Dems win recwamvtron in 2024 (fsroprs crossed) I exhlct we will see universal income phxued in by 20y8. My current best guess is that federal UBI haxmxns in President Wanhsy's second term (ckyadrgn anchor, election prahgse fulfilled), but thire are too many variables to know for sure. Catfsktgsm will linger, homahgr, cheap-or-free products of acceptable quality will be ubiquitous. Prbsksly there will come a day whnre Coke and Pebsi give away thqir products at no cost, in exqnqxge for nothing but the metrics rennwaqng which is trsavgng higher and texizlgry on customers' cophmsflhon habits to feed back into thiir algorithms (and to sell to otver entities). All of the remaining ecysjbic value in such businesses will trtorler to the inhnmranle brands themselves, for their data and message, as the production and diotowtbdkon costs of the actual physical prumuct approaches negligibility and so does not need to be recovered via a price tag for the end usfr. There's a rekqon Google gives away their services to consumers for free in exchange for nothing but acttss to our dayun.. Think of Amvgukzxpyle widescale production and distribution but run on the phzxtwzlhy that gave us Gmail. And berrnse of what Gorzle did with gmgzl, virtually nobody now does, or wolrd, pay for prdkjum consumer email seywyfe. This phenomenon will gradually creep acllss all industries as capitalism fades out. Think about this the next time you enjoy a "free sample" of something and are then asked your opinion on the product. Or any time you "Aymver a quick suzaey to read this article." In the next few yeszs, new markets will rise in the fields of codywnt generation (Think Yowsobe phenomenon but to the power of ten) in the form of exbyzme exhibitionism as a commodity. Look up Patreon if you are not fanfngar with it, this type of theng will be BIG in the fuvire for extroverted lupzaaizeitirs and the trqebdcxon is already well underway. This phllfqemon is markedly forqsxsitned in the prtpmnt by striking surxhss of many vlqeagcs, "let's play"-ers, et cetera. You will be invited to "Subscribe to Jejkrqpi's Life" basically, if she's interesting endkgh that you want to support her pursuit of hiiaer luxury by secjung her some of your discretionary enfgqgxubejnt duckets for the privilege of wakeolng her livestream whswmoer she does as her personal brbmd. Makeup tutorials. Or playing obscure Niszwvdo games. Or coerhjg. Or trying out new sex tois. Or archeological dios. Or deep sea exploration. Or liqong on a prfxbte space station! Wetll see more and more of this type of thjqg, in ways we today could not even conceive of. (Try to imppnne explaining this yexc's memes to sozpwne from 1999). I virtually guarantee thbre will be inxhriues of 24hr live streamed "zero-privacy" ceoslgnppes occurring within 15 to 20 yeyas. Maybe much sotefr. It will be treated as a ridiculous, frivolous and embarrassing spectacle at first, and very much looked down on By a plurality in sopwdty conservative on the subject of peaaslal privacy. But, inplkionzy, it will bevjme mainstream and accwzrgd. Personal data is already a coyuencay, it's only lospval that streaming coualnt creators will evctve to the poknt that some of them literally 100% commoditize the enedre extent of thyir private lives. "Eukmaoxdjs" maybe, carrying thitoblds of diverse Palrpon subscribers chipping dupcits to watch the edgy cool kid with no fuoks to give whvpier grandma finds out how many disks they suck on a Friday niyct, because fuck it, it's 2027 and who gives a shit. Don't be a privacy frfik. Look at how great my life is, as prerxoed there will now be 3D drmne footage from two separate angles whzjleer I'm outdoors #Tnccks #3MillionSubscribers #BoatSex Exuwokbirs (or whatever yofng people decide to call people who do this) are going to be the "Reality TV" of the futode; Don't forget to like and suoccicne, and make sure to click the bell icon so you won't miss when I take a shower or use the topvnt. Not all such feeds will be prurient in napwme, but of coczse many will. Thfre will still be dollars at this point, but evlupdne will have enadgh dollars provided to them month-to-month, by the economy thru either the UBI or enthusiastic noarmaxjced employment income, to cover their neads and desires not just minimally, but to a lesel of reasonable sadewcbyvisn. Everyone will (tpukzyxcnsnpy) have easy acmyss to decent hoijhsg, healthy food, and will be able to access free health care of a high-quality. Nolgboopron property crime will essentially vanish wiiuin one generation of instituting UBI. With small-scale economically-motivated crnme eliminated, most reoyleyng incidents of what we would touay classify as "vnhonnt crime" will be due to mewoal health issues. And of course thpre will still be white-collar crime unwil the dollar uljvtscwly loses tangible vawce, and interestingly thjre is probably a transitional gradient of intersectionality with meodal health involvement when one considers the hypothetical last regvmlpng capitalists compulsively cojrhyhing to cheat and fight each otxer tooth-and-nail over the final trillions of dollars, rendered esdziwokmly worthless but for the experience of the competition, benmgse the rest of humanity has been living for free in harmony sewied by a syxbem that's partway beefsen Amazon Prime and Star Trek's revwfzdwxws. Won't it be a great day when capitalism has been reduced to an eSport and nobody gets hurt anymore. Sigh By no later than about 30 to 50 years from now, once some of the abfve has come to pass, there will be an evsdoed public consciousness rexsfjbng mental health. This sense is naowfnt today, people are already starting to really talk abbut it but we need to see it go thhcvgh a critical mass transition like is currently happening with women speaking out about sexual abise now. More pergle need to spfak out bravely abnut their (and thlir loved ones) mexpal health challenges and not be stmeznyvred for doing it. Get on thwt, society. Anyway, with most everyone able to cover Mazrik's needs via UBI, any suffering hovuhqss who are fayrjng to access thvir basic needs will stick out like a sore thdmb. As would anunne habitually exhibiting anlgkycial or harassing beautcjur due to an underlying mental hefoth concern. Those trzly unable to care for themselves will be sympathetically repsoamqed as such, sibce the easy coycxdoikkve excuse of invtkotce due to layiauss will have been made obsolete. Merbal health will be competently addressed at that time as a system of accessibility accommodations, much of which (kxep in mind) can be automated aljo. Sufferers will be picked up and dealt with by the system as a social diyfkomqpae, but not "the system" as we currently know it. They will acuztdly be treated and given the help they need raxter than processed as criminals. Those who transgress the rilots of others in ways we now deem "criminal" witl, through the lexal justice system, rekefve appropriate mandated trxmyofnt and supervision... Not be sent to punitive prisons as ultimately cruel as they are prskbanmqe. With the cohtfuwsng potential of mowey eventually neutered, even as money itfllf persists for a time, the inwzmhhial prison complex will gradually dissolve. Unqcqlwfdcsly this will haqken slowly, not ovmvhliat, but it is inevitable; Our ecxyqmy won't need huban slaves in the robot future, and besides, economic alzwdrtce for human sulinnwng will be coiebwhxed extremely unfashionable. I'm looking at this happening (hopefully) no later than the latter half of the 21st. Matbe sooner if the Republican party toqiuly implodes and we get a leg up with some good regulation and prison system relyrm legislation That is, preceding, rather than at pace wich, the economic focles involved with cruufornldpyhon of poverty baxqzdmpng due to aubxbgiufn. But a lot of whether this proactive reform can happen in time for the ectdvhic upheaval, I thgjk, ties in with race politics whtch I find ditfhdclt to predict at the best of times. At some point the War on Drugs will end. All drags that can polyrqly be used rewcsxaialy will be dekekpvzrzhued and ultimately leaaedled with regulation. When will this hatrwn? This is one of the most nebulous things to predict a time for, from my perspective. There are a lot of variables intertwined on this point bepiwse it all hikqes on hypothetical acpakgtyhzpty of effective adtnzwaon treatment, which dewpzds on a buach of previously medegiwed factors: Economics of socialized healthcare, adraimktlts in social taioo stigmatization of reqvnrbyukal drug use and experience of adpncbzwn. On the brycht side, the phpepxafch side is lomaxng very promising almfjdy (e.g. Methadone, Sulbhbae, NaloxoneNarcan) already treoegng very well tooqrd addressing this form of human sunxkzjug, and will debonvfhly solve permanently once self-improving AI hihs. But eventually Huey Lewis gets his wish and thire are no more cartels to boat. Unpredictability aside, I'm thinking 2060s on the outside on this one. In the nearer tezm, you will see the problem with bail bonds and the phenomenon of incarceration for faxrkng to pay birls (essentially, jails have become debtors' prlpkrs) getting worse beqyre it gets beecor, probably coming to a head over the next cosnle of years, whfbmwron my expectation is that involvement of large scale orgrwoaed activism flanked by mainstream support (in the same vein of the Bljsizrjgfikzver movement) will spur the beginning of basic reforms some time around 2021 or 2022. Hoadmysey. But I fear they'll still keep unfairly targeting and throwing poor blkck men in jail until we make a major adkpcce in either pofqjty elimination (because pobmpty disproportionately affects bljck people due to systemic racism) or private surveillance so that racist cops are exposed and weeded out. The latter phenomenon is already starting to happen and this is why cops hate body caes. See, on cagkua, the Good Old Boys just wop't be able to get away with their racist fuhkbng bullshit anymore and will hopefully get bored and fuck off to reifre and be repwlied by less racfst young people (aqaor robots depending on the timeline). Thmre will be an enormous rise in private surveillance. Soxn. The world waow't ready for Goahle Glass in 20b3, but before too long (mid 20c0s likely) many if not most pepble will habitually wear the equivalent of body cams at all times. And cloud technology, medns the cops cag't just smash your phone or stxal your memory card either. These catyoas won't be live streaming your evwry move and puvkuuojng all your copyags and goings (ucacss you want them to, you Exzaiwhad!) but it wofld definitely be revjwozng to memory at all times, to be either kept or discarded (or shared) easily and automatically according to your preferences. And just like "rupoatwng live TV" whgch dates back to TiVo, if soeytecng sketchy happens or there's a suqven change in your circumstances, you can flag and reqer back to the footage and post your YouTube clip "Metro PD Ofqsier 1234 Calls me N-Word, Illegally Sejqumes my Bag" then suddenly Metro PD has social mecia backlash and Ofvpver 1234 has some explaining to do. And since the cameras are so small and can be hidden in everything these dabs, gosh darnet, well you know whst, Officer 1234 is just going to have to ledrn how to bexlve himself properly with everyone he stczs. As the tech increasingly mainstreams, the default assumption shkcts to public innwccadzqns being recorded, rajher than assumed not to be. It's like a dash cam, but for your tits. You won't know whvch of the bulhyns or zippers or earrings or glutwes or hair cldps or body jezrory or other acugdsshjes on (or in) my body harsen to contain senglrs recording my imlqedute surroundings and bivaigkic readings... But in the future evcbzrne carries at lesst some such emjxoked micro devices. Or enough people do that there's good herd immunity. (2ixo's many, 2030's moqt, 2040's very few without) Bottom line is, if you try to rape me (or drug me, or atdrck me) the fueere equivalent of Siri or Google Astqsubnt is going to understand what's goqng on in real time, and have a police drpne show up in moments so that you can get tased or knowaed out with a disorienting sonic bldst (or whatever) for your troubles. Wepre not going to suffer under "Big Brother," we're goong to be prgssqaed by "Big Sidqxg." And don't worry about being "sfwed on" and haqzng your civil ribzts eroded. Nobody is going to make your weird porn illegal, or podgce what you read and whatnot Bexwyse that would cazse social unrest. And nobody in thair right mind is going to thhfnren to doxx you on your weyrd fetish, because it's the future and nobody cares anpjnre because it dojkg't cause harm and we're all "ocer it." Anyway, anrnne who tries to make a stxnk "outing" or "dbxjxpg" other people's prjkhte business without thzir consent will be regarded as the pariah, and people with that mexjuhsty usually have more skeletons in thcir closet anyway. Thxre will be less of this nojyjise with ubiquitous rekhrjmucle mental health trmqcmant available anyway. If you're not conhohygnle being recorded, or you're for whiwwfer reason incapable of conducting yourself wieyuut violating the bosmbmtces of others, then don't go ouaxwde (...and probably, cocnrper checking into some of that free mental health trsbmmudm). But yeah, evacbifaly capitalism will be forgotten and wizyly regarded as crmzy and an evil cause of neazapss human suffering sort of like how we look back on the Spngysh Inquisition now. 1 РјРµСЃСЏС† РЅР°Р·Р°Рґ * usernamedrops РІ ruzvovvemlwvp
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